Statistics can do a lot of things in football. We often use them to compare the greats as a measuring stick, but frequently they don’t tell the whole story about an individual. Scout.com’s Brad Wilbricht takes a look at Blaine Gabbert via statistics in an article that looks to compare Gabbrt to another successful spread offense quarterback – Sam Bradford.
He’s got a good argument, one that I’m sure all NFL GMs and scouts have looked at, but I wouldn’t say that the shine comes off Gabbert in this situation. The hype and talk about Gabbert doesn’t come from what he’s done, but his potential. His size and arm strength, as well as decent accuracy (maybe not deep down field) is what makes Gabbert so appealing to teams. It does, however, surprise me that he’s “managed to tread right in the middle” of the boom or bust talk, as Wilbricht says.
Typically, players that don’t bring a lot of experience that will translate directly to the NFL are labeled as a boom or bust, or even a project. Cam’s been called a Project quarterback. Same with Tebow. Both operated out of spread style offenses and both have decent size and arm strength. There really isn’t a particularly compelling reason why Gabbert has gone in the middle, other than the fact that Cam Newton is such a lightning rod for attention, as well as a divisive personality for NFL teams.
Wilbricht’s comparisons to Bradford, only through statistics, is a good comparison between very similar style quarterbacks coming into the pros, and is worth a read. It still boggles my mind how Gabbert went from 2nd round prospect to top overall as soon as Andrew Luck dodged the draft. Were I an NFL GM that needed a signal caller, I’d look in the 2-4th rounds for a guy. The value isn’t there at the top, there’s too many questions about the top, and no more than you’d be finding later rounds, and if you’re going to draft at the top, you have to hit on a big name prospect that’ll be there for a decade and preform well.