I’ve been checking up on all the media reporting coming from NFL people about how they believe the draft is going to run. You’ll remember last year they all said the top of the 3rd round would see more trades because they had a night to work on it. This year they say the same thing even though that didn’t seem to hold up.

Meanwhile, about 50% of reports think that there will be a lot of trades in the 1st due to teams reaching for various reasons (unsettled quarterback, no free agency to fill holes, etc) while the other 50% think there will be less because of simple uncertainty about free agency and the weak class this year.

If I had to guess, I’d wager that the draft will go down about how it always does. A couple trades in the middle, a few picks that surprise us, but nothing out of the water one way or the other. There’s simply too much power in draft picks for there to be a wealth of movement and a mortgaging of the future draft (in which, presumably, there will be a free agency and a normal routine about it. Not to mention a better draft class).

I think the Patriots will find a way to move around, as usual because they have a lot to work with. Teams with less will stand pat where they are and a couple of teams that will make bigger reaches.

I think there will be 5 first round quarterbacks. Cameron Newton, Blaine Gabbert, Jake Locker, Andy Dalton, Colin Kaepernick.

I think that Ponder and Mallett will sink to the top of the 2nd, probably without a trade to get them.

I’ll bet Ingram will go in the 1st, but not before New England at 17. And I think that Miami could be a candidate to move down if a higher level prospect falls a bit to them, but doesn’t fit a need of theirs. They can pick up a few picks and possibly snag Ingram later.

Two wide receivers in round one. Both will be gone by the 10th pick.

Three to four corner backs. With bigger needs for better corners, I think Brandon Harris could sneak into the end of the 1st.

Half the first round picks will be defensive Ends or defensive tackles (at least as they played in college).

Bowers will fall, but not farther than the Lions/Vikings range.

1st-2nd round prospects: Marvin Austin, Phil Taylor, Kyle Rudolph, Aaron Williams, Brandon Harris.

I know very few people are excited about it, but I’m looking forwards to the draft. Will be doing some player comparisons tomorrow, and a final mock draft for contest Wednesday. Thursday morning, I’ll pots a couple projected trades (knowing full well they’re very unlikely) for some amusement.